Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Osipovic A.
18'
18'
Jurevicius Z.
27'
27'
Misiunas D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The I Lyga game between Garliava and BFA Vilnius finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFA Vilnius.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFA Vilnius
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and BFA Vilnius come out ahead of Garliava on wins alone.
- BFA Vilnius are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Garliava Clean Sheet 10%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Garliava | BFA Vilnius |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 I Lyga
Garliava vs BFA Vilnius
2:3
May 19, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
BFA Vilnius vs Garliava
2:1
May 9, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Garliava
1:2
Aug 9, 2024 I Lyga
Garliava vs BFA Vilnius
2:2
Mar 16, 2024 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Garliava
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Garliava Compare
Top Goalscorer Pastukas J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Da Cruz C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
BFA Vilnius Compare
Top Goalscorer Osipovic A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jurevicius Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Garliava 10 / 100
BFA Vilnius 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Garliava BFA Vilnius
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BFA Vilnius Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
BFA Vilnius let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Garliava scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Garliava VS BFA Vilnius
0.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Garliava
(Home) 12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3 BFA Vilnius
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0 Garliava
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0 Garliava
15 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3 BFA Vilnius
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
15 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 Tauras Taurage
01 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 Neptunas
26 Jun
Garliava
0 : 1 FK Minija
Page 1 of 3
BFA Vilnius
(Away) 12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3 BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2 BFA Vilnius
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0 Neptunas
15 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 0 BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3 BFA Vilnius
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2 BFA Vilnius
15 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 0 BFA Vilnius
02 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 0 BFA Vilnius
19 Jul
Ekranas
1 : 4 BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 24 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 63:13 | 64 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 42:11 | 58 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 43:25 | 50 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33:30 | 44 |
| 5 | BFA Vilnius | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 39:35 | 43 |
| 6 | Zalgiris 2 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 38:31 | 43 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34:23 | 40 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28:33 | 27 |
| 11 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 30:56 | 22 |
| 12 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 23:38 | 22 |
| 13 | Garliava | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 27:30 | 22 |
| 14 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 29:58 | 21 |
| 15 | Siauliai 2 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | 17 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 25:58 | 14 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
