Sport Picks
Garliava vs Dainava Alytus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Lithuania
I Lyga 
Match Events
11'
11'
Ceckauskas D.
74'
74'
Bogdanovas M.
89'
89'
Lukashevych M.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Garliava in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Garliava.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dainava Alytus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Dainava Alytus lately — more wins on the board than Garliava.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Dainava Alytus have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Garliava Clean Sheet 20%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Garliava | Dainava Alytus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2026 I Lyga
Garliava vs Dainava Alytus
2:1
Jun 8, 2026 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Garliava
1:0
Aug 5, 2022 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Garliava
2:0
Mar 26, 2022 I Lyga
Garliava vs Dainava Alytus
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Garliava Compare
Top Goalscorer Ceckauskas D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bogdanovas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Dainava Alytus Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Garliava 31 / 100
Dainava Alytus 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Garliava Dainava Alytus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Garliava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Garliava's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.
Dainava Alytus has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Garliava has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Garliava VS Dainava Alytus
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Garliava
(Home) 02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1 Dainava Alytus
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2 Garliava
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3 BFA Vilnius
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0 Garliava
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1 Dainava Alytus
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3 BFA Vilnius
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
15 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 Tauras Taurage
01 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 Neptunas
Page 1 of 3
Dainava Alytus
(Away) 09 Oct
BE1 NFA
2 : 2 Dainava Alytus
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1 Dainava Alytus
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1 Dainava Alytus
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3 FK Minija
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0 Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
BE1 NFA
2 : 2 Dainava Alytus
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1 Dainava Alytus
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1 Dainava Alytus
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0 Dainava Alytus
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2 Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68:13 | 67 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 43:11 | 61 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 46:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Zalgiris 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 40:33 | 46 |
| 5 | Neptunas | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33:30 | 44 |
| 6 | BFA Vilnius | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 40:37 | 43 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 37:27 | 41 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Garliava | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:28 | 28 |
| 11 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28:33 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 26:46 | 23 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 29:58 | 21 |
| 14 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 26:59 | 19 |
| 15 | Siauliai 2 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 30:59 | 18 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 25:58 | 14 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
