Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Garliava vs FK Atmosfera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Garliava host FK Atmosfera in the I Lyga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Garliava at 1.24 goals for, 1.14 against; FK Atmosfera at 1.57 for, 1.39 against. Past meetings favor FK Atmosfera slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.44, favoring FK Atmosfera. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Garliava
20%
Draws
50%
FK Atmosfera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Atmosfera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • FK Atmosfera's 1.57 goals per match outpaces what Garliava have produced (1.24).
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Garliava Clean Sheet 16%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garliava FK Atmosfera
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Garliava
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Atmosfera
0:1
Jun 8, 2024 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Garliava
3:2
Oct 7, 2022 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Garliava
2:3
Jun 3, 2022 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Atmosfera
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garliava 31 / 100
FK Atmosfera 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garliava FK Atmosfera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Atmosfera let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Garliava's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Garliava went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Garliava VS FK Atmosfera
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Garliava

(Home)
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1
Dainava Alytus
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0
Garliava
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6

FK Atmosfera

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1
Tauras Taurage
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
22 Aug
Dainava Alytus
1 : 1
FK Atmosfera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)