Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Garliava vs FK Babrungas Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Lukashevych M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

FK Babrungas in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Babrungas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Garliava
15%
Draws
85%
FK Babrungas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Babrungas lately — more wins on the board than Garliava.
  • Win probability leans FK Babrungas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Babrungas have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Garliava Clean Sheet 16%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garliava FK Babrungas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 22
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.21 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Babrungas
0:1
Apr 24, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Garliava
1:0
Jul 26, 2024 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Garliava
5:0
Apr 13, 2024 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Babrungas
1:2
Jul 29, 2023 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Babrungas
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garliava 10 / 100
FK Babrungas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garliava FK Babrungas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Babrungas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Garliava scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: FK Babrungas conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.

FK Babrungas's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Garliava VS FK Babrungas
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Garliava

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0
Garliava
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Garliava
Page 1 of 6

FK Babrungas

(Away)
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1
Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Garliava 24 7 4 13 29:27 25
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)