Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Garliava vs FK Minija

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Kasparavicius J.
90'
Pilipavicius A.

AI Match Summary

Garliava host FK Minija in the I Lyga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Garliava at 1.5 goals for, 1 against; FK Minija at 2.75 for, 0.75 against. Head-to-head, Garliava have won 2 to FK Minija's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.88, favoring FK Minija. FK Minija in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Garliava
33%
Draws
40%
FK Minija
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Minija has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Garliava.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for FK Minija.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in I Lyga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Garliava Clean Sheet 10%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garliava FK Minija
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 20
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.5 2.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Minija
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Minija
4:2
Apr 6, 2024 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Garliava
0:0
Sep 30, 2023 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Minija
2:0
May 13, 2023 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Garliava
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Garliava Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasparavicius J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garliava 26 / 100
FK Minija 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garliava FK Minija

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Garliava scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

FK Minija let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Garliava went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FK Minija lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Garliava VS FK Minija
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Minija15131139:940
2FK Babrungas15123026:439
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Neptunas1591520:1728
5Tauras Taurage1591527:1628
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7Garliava1564522:1422
8BFA Vilnius1571718:2422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1545618:2017
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas15211215:297
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21521127:247
16Siauliai 215141013:357