Sport Picks

Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2025 Garliavos Adomo Mitkaus mokyklos stadionas

FK Panevezys

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Garliava play FK Panevezys in the Lithuanian Cup 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Garliava averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. FK Panevezys averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Garliava won 0, FK Panevezys won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 27, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Garliava and 1.25 for FK Panevezys. This points to a FK Panevezys double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Garliava

17%

Draws

46%

FK Panevezys

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Garliava picked up more points recently compared to FK Panevezys.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Garliava Clean Sheet 19%

FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Garliava	FK Panevezys
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	14
Draws	6	4
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	1.4	1.4
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.37
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2025 Lithuanian Cup

Garliava vs FK Panevezys

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Garliava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

FK Panevezys Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith A.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garliava 37 / 100

FK Panevezys 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Garliava FK Panevezys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Panevezys or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Garliava attacking → ← attacking FK Panevezys

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Garliava scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

FK Panevezys let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Garliava went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FK Panevezys lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 46

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50