Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Garliava vs Jonava

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Odincovas L.
90' Event
Pilipavicius A.

AI Match Summary

Garliava in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Garliava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Garliava
15%
Draws
57%
Jonava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jonava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Jonava average 0.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Garliava's 0.75.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Garliava Clean Sheet 20%
Jonava Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garliava Jonava
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 I Lyga
Jonava vs Garliava
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 I Lyga
Garliava vs Jonava
2:0
Sep 1, 2023 I Lyga
Jonava vs Garliava
2:1
Apr 15, 2023 I Lyga
Garliava vs Jonava
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Garliava Compare

Top Goalscorer Odincovas L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pilipavicius A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Jonava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garliava 32 / 100
Jonava 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garliava Jonava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Garliava found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Jonava let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Jonava registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Garliava VS Jonava
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Garliava

(Home)
07 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 1
Garliava
01 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
Neptunas
25 Jul
Jonava
1 : 0
Garliava
26 Jun
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Minija
19 Jun
Garliava
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
Page 1 of 6

Jonava

(Away)
07 Aug
Jonava
1 : 2
Ekranas
31 Jul
BE1 NFA
0 : 2
Jonava
25 Jul
Jonava
1 : 0
Garliava
18 Jul
FK Minija
2 : 1
Jonava
27 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 1
Jonava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 18 15 3 0 31:4 48
2 FK Minija 18 15 1 2 45:11 46
3 Neptunas 18 11 2 5 25:20 35
4 Tauras Taurage 18 11 2 5 35:20 35
5 BE1 NFA 17 10 2 5 29:20 32
6 Dainava Alytus 17 9 4 4 30:17 31
7 BFA Vilnius 18 9 1 8 25:27 28
8 Zalgiris 2 18 7 4 7 25:26 25
9 FK Atmosfera 17 7 3 7 28:21 24
10 Jonava 19 6 5 8 23:24 23
11 Garliava 18 6 4 8 23:19 22
12 Hegelmann Litauen 2 19 5 1 13 20:43 16
13 Transinvest 2 18 4 3 11 16:42 15
14 Ekranas 19 3 2 14 19:37 11
15 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 18 3 1 14 12:31 10
16 Siauliai 2 18 2 4 12 16:40 10
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)