Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The I Lyga game between Garliava and Neptunas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neptunas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Neptunas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Neptunas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Garliava | Neptunas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Garliava Compare
Neptunas Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Garliava scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Neptunas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Neptunas lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Garliava
(Home)Neptunas
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 24 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 63:13 | 64 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 43:11 | 61 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 44:24 | 50 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33:30 | 44 |
| 5 | BFA Vilnius | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 39:35 | 43 |
| 6 | Zalgiris 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 38:32 | 43 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34:23 | 40 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28:33 | 27 |
| 11 | Garliava | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 29:27 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 23:38 | 22 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 29:58 | 21 |
| 14 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 26:59 | 19 |
| 15 | Siauliai 2 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | 17 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 25:58 | 14 |
