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Garliava vs Zalgiris 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Garliava host Zalgiris 2 in the I Lyga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Zalgiris 2 have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Garliava have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.24. Head-to-head, Garliava have won 1 to Zalgiris 2's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (0.81 - 1.69) back Zalgiris 2 to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Garliava
15%
Draws
68%
Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zalgiris 2 lately — more wins on the board than Garliava.
  • Win probability leans Zalgiris 2's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Garliava Clean Sheet 13%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garliava Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Garliava
2:1
Oct 28, 2023 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Garliava
1:1
Jun 10, 2023 I Lyga
Garliava vs Zalgiris 2
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Garliava
1:0
Jun 17, 2022 I Lyga
Garliava vs Zalgiris 2
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garliava 22 / 100
Zalgiris 2 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garliava Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Garliava scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Zalgiris 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Garliava went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Garliava VS Zalgiris 2
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Garliava

(Home)
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1
Dainava Alytus
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0
Garliava
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
Neptunas
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3
Transinvest 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)