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Gasogi United vs Amagaju

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amagaju in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amagaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Gasogi United
30%
Draws
58%
Amagaju
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amagaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Amagaju lately — more wins on the board than Gasogi United.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Amagaju taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Gasogi United Clean Sheet 21%
Amagaju Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gasogi United Amagaju
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.7 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2026 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Amagaju
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Amagaju vs Gasogi United
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Amagaju
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Premier League
Amagaju vs Gasogi United
2:2
Feb 24, 2024 Premier League
Amagaju vs Gasogi United
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gasogi United 29 / 100
Amagaju 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gasogi United Amagaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amagaju Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amagaju's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Gasogi United's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gasogi United has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gasogi United VS Amagaju
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gasogi United

(Home)
06 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 0
Gasogi United
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2
Etincelles
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Amagaju

(Away)
18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0
Al-Merreikh
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0
Amagaju
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Amagaju
22 May
Amagaju
0 : 2
Muhanga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)