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Gasogi United vs Gorilla Prediction & H2H Stats

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League Kigali Pele Stadium, Kigali
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gasogi United host Gorilla in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Gorilla have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Gasogi United have conceded 1.42 and scored 0.71. Head-to-head, Gasogi United have won 3 to Gorilla's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.63, favoring Gorilla. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Gasogi United
15%
Draws
76%
Gorilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Gorilla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gorilla's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gasogi United Clean Sheet 14%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gasogi United Gorilla
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.71 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Gorilla
2:1
Jan 12, 2026 Premier League
Gorilla vs Gasogi United
1:2
May 20, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs Gasogi United
2:1
Nov 30, 2024 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Gorilla
2:2
Feb 17, 2024 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Gorilla
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gasogi United 15 / 100
Gorilla 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gasogi United Gorilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorilla let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gasogi United scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Gasogi United has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gasogi United VS Gorilla
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gasogi United

(Home)
06 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 0
Gasogi United
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2
Etincelles
Page 1 of 7

Gorilla

(Away)
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
2 Etincelles 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
3 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
4 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
5 Al-Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 Marines 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
8 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Gorilla 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Kiyovu 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
12 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Rayon Sport 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Al-Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
16 Kigali FC 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
17 Bugesera 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)