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Gasperich vs Lorentzweiler Prediction & H2H Stats

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lorentzweiler in this Luxembourg Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gasperich
15%
Draws
85%
Lorentzweiler
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lorentzweiler

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lorentzweiler lately — more wins on the board than Gasperich.
  • Win probability leans Lorentzweiler's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lorentzweiler arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lorentzweiler, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Gasperich Clean Sheet 10%
Lorentzweiler Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gasperich Lorentzweiler
Matches Played 6 19
Wins 0 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.32
Goals Conceded 3.83 2.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Gasperich vs Lorentzweiler
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gasperich 10 / 100
Lorentzweiler 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gasperich Lorentzweiler

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorentzweiler Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lorentzweiler conceded in 89% of 19 recent games.

Difficult form: Lorentzweiler registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Gasperich's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Gasperich VS Lorentzweiler
0.25 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gasperich

(Home)
21 Sept
Gasperich
0 : 1
Lorentzweiler
01 Oct
Gasperich
0 : 4
Mondorf
22 Sept
Gasperich
0 : 3
FC Rodange 91
18 Sept
Gasperich
1 : 4
Blo Weiss Medernach
02 Sept
Blo Weiss Medernach
4 : 2
Gasperich
Page 1 of 2

Lorentzweiler

(Away)
20 Sept
Erpeldange
3 : 4
Lorentzweiler
16 Jul
Lorentzweiler
3 : 5
FC Residence Walferdange
09 Nov
Lorentzweiler
2 : 4
FC Rodange 91
21 Sept
Gasperich
0 : 1
Lorentzweiler
06 Oct
Lorentzweiler
0 : 2
Victoria Rosport
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Ehlerange 0
Differdange 9
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Union Titus Petange 4
Les Aiglons Dalheim 2
The Belval Belvaux 6
Grevenmacher 0
UNA Strassen 3
Kehlen 2
Ettelbruck 3
Echternach 0
Racing Luxembourg 7
FC Munsbach 3
FC Residence Walferdange 1
US Sandweiler 2
Jeunesse Canach 5
Avenir Beggen 2
Rumelange 3
Jeunesse Biwer 1
Fola 4
Oberkorn 0
Hesperange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Hostert 4
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Koeppchen 0
FC Schengen 2
Luxembourg City 4
Gasperich 0
Lorentzweiler 1
US Folschette 0
FC Rodange 91 5
Union Remich/Bous 1
Dudelange 3
FC Noertzange HF 0
Bissen 9
FC Kopstal 33 1
Berdenia Berbourg 2
CS Sanem 1
Mondorf 6
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 2
Wiltz 6
ALSS Luxembourg 2
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Syra Mensdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Miniere Lasauvage 2
US Feulen 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Bettembourg 6
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Schifflange 2
Mertzig 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
FC Mamer 2
Lintgen 0
Kaerjeng 3
FF Norden 1
Mondercange 4
US Moutfort/Medingen 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/16-finals
Differdange 2
Union Titus Petange 1
The Belval Belvaux 2
UNA Strassen 4
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
FC Munsbach 2
Jeunesse Canach 3
Rumelange 2
Fola 4
Hesperange 0
Hostert 3
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Luxembourg City 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Rodange 91 4
Dudelange 1
Bissen 4
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Mondorf 2
Wiltz 6
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Jeunesse Esch 0
US Feulen 2
Bettembourg 1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Alisontia Steinsel 2
FC Mamer 2
Kaerjeng 0
Mondercange 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/8-finals
Differdange 4
UNA Strassen 3
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Fola 3
Hostert 1
Luxembourg City 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Bissen 2
Mondorf 1
Wiltz 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
US Feulen 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
FC Mamer 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Quarter-finals
Differdange 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
Fola 0
FC Rodange 91 1
Bissen 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
US Feulen 1
Victoria Rosport 2
Semi-finals
Differdange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Final
Differdange 4
Victoria Rosport 1