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Stadium Background

Gateshead vs Altrincham

England England

National League Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Robinson J.
21' Event
Knowles J.
36'
Kosylo M.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Gateshead and Altrincham finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Altrincham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gateshead
15%
Draws
85%
Altrincham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altrincham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gateshead haven't matched Altrincham's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Altrincham's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%
Altrincham Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gateshead Altrincham
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National League
Altrincham vs Gateshead
3:1
Sep 3, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Altrincham
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Altrincham
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 National League
Altrincham vs Gateshead
2:2
Mar 23, 2024 National League
Altrincham vs Gateshead
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gateshead Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Altrincham Compare

Top Goalscorer Knowles J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gateshead 10 / 100
Altrincham 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gateshead Altrincham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altrincham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gateshead scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Altrincham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Altrincham lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gateshead VS Altrincham
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gateshead

(Home)
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0
Gateshead
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6
Southend
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Gateshead
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0
Gateshead
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3
Derby U21
Page 1 of 6

Altrincham

(Away)
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0
Hornchurch
19 Sept
AFC Fylde
1 : 2
Altrincham
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Hartlepool
12 Sept
Woking
5 : 1
Altrincham
04 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Eastleigh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 10 8 2 0 26:11 26
2 Southend 10 6 2 2 25:16 20
3 AFC Fylde 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Harrogate 10 6 1 3 24:17 19
5 Aldershot 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
6 Yeovil 10 5 3 2 19:14 18
7 Kidderminster 10 5 3 2 13:8 18
8 Altrincham 10 6 0 4 15:15 18
9 Worthing FC 10 5 2 3 19:16 17
10 Sutton 10 5 2 3 13:13 17
11 Hornchurch 10 5 0 5 11:15 15
12 Forest Green 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Eastleigh 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
14 Halifax 10 4 1 5 15:13 13
15 Woking 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
16 Barrow 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
17 Wealdstone 10 3 2 5 15:15 11
18 Boston United 10 3 2 5 13:14 11
19 Carlisle 10 2 4 4 18:19 10
20 Scunthorpe 10 3 1 6 15:16 10
21 Hartlepool 10 3 0 7 8:15 9
22 Tamworth 10 2 2 6 17:28 8
23 Solihull Moors 10 1 1 8 9:26 4
24 Gateshead 10 1 1 8 6:24 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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