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Gateshead vs Barrow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gateshead host Barrow in the National League. Barrow are expected to control this from the start. Barrow have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Gateshead have conceded 2.26 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Gateshead slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2019, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 2.13) point toward Barrow. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Gateshead
30%
Draws
51%
Barrow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barrow come out ahead of Gateshead on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Barrow's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%
Barrow Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gateshead Barrow
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 3 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2019 National League
Gateshead vs Barrow
0:2
Sep 25, 2018 National League
Barrow vs Gateshead
1:2
Feb 20, 2018 National League
Barrow vs Gateshead
1:1
Nov 21, 2017 National League
Gateshead vs Barrow
1:2
Dec 31, 2016 National League
Gateshead vs Barrow
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gateshead 10 / 100
Barrow 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gateshead Barrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barrow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gateshead's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Barrow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gateshead went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gateshead VS Barrow
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gateshead

(Home)
03 Nov
Gateshead
3 : 1
Stoke City U21
31 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 0
Gateshead
27 Oct
Boston United
2 : 1
Gateshead
20 Oct
Stafford
5 : 0
Gateshead
17 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 1
Stafford
Page 1 of 7

Barrow

(Away)
07 Nov
Gillingham
0 : 1
Barrow
31 Oct
Barrow
1 : 1
Eastleigh
27 Oct
Halifax
2 : 3
Barrow
20 Oct
Gloucester City
0 : 2
Barrow
17 Oct
Barrow
0 : 0
Gloucester City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 16 14 2 0 44:17 44
2 Harrogate 16 10 2 4 34:23 32
3 Southend 16 8 5 3 38:27 29
4 AFC Fylde 16 9 2 5 30:24 29
5 Yeovil 16 8 4 4 35:20 28
6 Worthing FC 16 8 4 4 32:25 28
7 Altrincham 16 9 1 6 24:24 28
8 Carlisle 16 7 5 4 32:23 26
9 Barrow 15 7 4 4 26:19 25
10 Halifax 16 7 3 6 28:20 24
11 Sutton 16 7 3 6 20:21 24
12 Woking 16 6 3 7 25:24 21
13 Kidderminster 16 5 6 5 17:16 21
14 Aldershot 16 6 3 7 19:19 21
15 Hornchurch 16 7 0 9 18:26 21
16 Forest Green 14 5 4 5 23:24 19
17 Eastleigh 16 5 4 7 19:25 19
18 Wealdstone 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
19 Boston United 16 5 3 8 21:29 18
20 Tamworth 15 5 2 8 25:32 17
21 Hartlepool 16 5 0 11 18:27 15
22 Solihull Moors 16 4 1 11 19:40 13
23 Scunthorpe 15 3 1 11 19:30 10
24 Gateshead 15 1 1 13 9:34 4
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