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Gateshead vs Nottingham U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
1 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Smith M.
30'
McClure B.
46'
Sub
Spellman M. In: Bone C.
Out: Spellman M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gateshead
15%
Draws
85%
Nottingham U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nottingham U21 lately — more wins on the board than Gateshead.
  • Model gives Nottingham U21 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Nottingham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nottingham U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gateshead Nottingham U21
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 4 17
Draws 5 2
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 National League Cup
Gateshead vs Nottingham U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gateshead Compare

Top Goalscorer Anifowose J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sillah L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gateshead 26 / 100
Nottingham U21 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gateshead Nottingham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gateshead scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Nottingham U21 conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Nottingham U21 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gateshead VS Nottingham U21
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gateshead

(Home)
13 Oct
Gateshead
0 : 1
Wolves U21
10 Oct
Halifax
4 : 1
Gateshead
03 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 2
Worthing FC
29 Sept
Gateshead
0 : 1
Altrincham
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0
Gateshead
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham U21

(Away)
13 Oct
Notts County
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
09 Oct
Peterborough U21
1 : 5
Nottingham U21
30 Sept
Nottingham U21
2 : 4
Sporting CP B
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2
Nottingham U21
18 Sept
West Brom U21
1 : 3
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 3 3 0 0 13:4 9
2 Scunthorpe 3 3 0 0 8:3 8
3 Wolves U21 3 2 0 1 3:4 5
4 Derby U21 3 1 0 2 7:9 4
5 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 3 0 0 3 2:4 2
8 Stoke City U21 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Norwich U21 3 2 0 1 5:6 5
3 Ipswich U21 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
4 Hornchurch 3 1 0 2 5:3 4
5 Aldershot 3 1 0 2 7:8 4
6 Braintree 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
7 Fulham U21 3 2 0 1 4:5 4
8 Worthing FC 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Tamworth 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
4 Solihull Moors 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
5 Everton U21 3 2 0 1 2:2 5
6 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Leeds U21 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
8 Hartlepool 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Woking 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Sutton 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 West Brom U21 3 2 0 1 3:3 5
5 Birmingham U21 3 2 0 1 4:6 5
6 Southampton U21 3 1 0 2 8:11 3
7 Leicester U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 2
8 Boston United 3 0 0 3 7:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)