Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Cardwell H.
Assist: Massiah-Edwards Z.
8'
8'
McAdam K.
Assist: Massiah-Edwards Z.
19'
19'
Austin S.
Assist: Daley-Campbell V.
AI Match Summary
Southend in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Southend.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Southend
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Southend have won more games recently than Gateshead.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%
Southend Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gateshead | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 3 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 21 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 2.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.31 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 National League
Gateshead vs Southend
1:6
Mar 10, 2026 National League
Southend vs Gateshead
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Southend
0:3
May 5, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Southend
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 National League
Southend vs Gateshead
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gateshead Compare
Top Goalscorer Eguaibor D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Southend Compare
Top Goalscorer Austin S.
3 Goals Assists Leader Cardwell H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gateshead 34 / 100
Southend 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gateshead Southend
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Southend Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Southend conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Gateshead found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Solid form: Gateshead remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gateshead VS Southend
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gateshead
(Home) 03 Nov
Gateshead
3 : 1 Stoke City U21
31 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 0 Gateshead
27 Oct
Boston United
2 : 1 Gateshead
20 Oct
Stafford
5 : 0 Gateshead
17 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 1 Stafford
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Gateshead
3 : 1 Stoke City U21
17 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 1 Stafford
13 Oct
Gateshead
0 : 1 Wolves U21
03 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 2 Worthing FC
29 Sept
Gateshead
0 : 1 Altrincham
Page 1 of 3
Southend
(Away) 31 Oct
Wealdstone
3 : 2 Southend
27 Oct
Worthing FC
3 : 3 Southend
24 Oct
Southend
2 : 2 Halifax
17 Oct
Southend
1 : 2 Berkhamsted Town
10 Oct
Boston United
1 : 2 Southend
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Wealdstone
3 : 2 Southend
27 Oct
Worthing FC
3 : 3 Southend
10 Oct
Boston United
1 : 2 Southend
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Southend
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6 Southend
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:27 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:25 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Halifax | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:24 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:19 | 21 |
| 15 | Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18:26 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:32 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18:27 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 19:40 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:34 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
