Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Cardwell H.
Assist: Massiah-Edwards Z.
8'
8'
McAdam K.
Assist: Massiah-Edwards Z.
19'
19'
Austin S.
Assist: Daley-Campbell V.
AI Match Summary
Southend in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Southend.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
30%
64%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Southend
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Southend have won more games recently than Gateshead.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Southend taking it.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%
Southend Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gateshead | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 2.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 National League
Gateshead vs Southend
1:6
Mar 10, 2026 National League
Southend vs Gateshead
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Southend
0:3
May 5, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Southend
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 National League
Southend vs Gateshead
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gateshead Compare
Top Goalscorer Eguaibor D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Southend Compare
Top Goalscorer Austin S.
3 Goals Assists Leader Cardwell H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gateshead 10 / 100
Southend 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gateshead Southend
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Southend Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Gateshead scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Southend conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
Solid form: Gateshead remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gateshead VS Southend
0.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Gateshead
(Home) 19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6 Southend
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0 Gateshead
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0 Gateshead
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3 Derby U21
05 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 1 Solihull Moors
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6 Southend
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3 Derby U21
05 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 1 Solihull Moors
28 Aug
Gateshead
0 : 1 Sutton
18 Aug
Gateshead
1 : 2 Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 4
Southend
(Away) 19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6 Southend
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1 Tamworth
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2 Yeovil
31 Aug
Woking
1 : 1 Southend
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6 Southend
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
31 Aug
Woking
1 : 1 Southend
22 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3 Southend
08 Aug
Altrincham
1 : 3 Southend
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 2 | Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Harrogate | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Sutton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Yeovil | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 9 | Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Worthing FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 13 | Halifax | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 15 | Boston United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 21 | Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:23 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:20 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
