Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gateshead vs Sutton

England England

National League Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Carter C.
22'
Njoku B.
30'
Robinson J.

AI Match Summary

Sutton in this National League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Gateshead
20%
Draws
64%
Sutton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sutton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sutton lately — more wins on the board than Gateshead.
  • Model gives Sutton a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 15%
Sutton Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gateshead Sutton
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.19 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 National League
Gateshead vs Sutton
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 National League
Gateshead vs Sutton
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Gateshead
4:2
Feb 18, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Sutton
4:3
Oct 23, 2024 National League
Sutton vs Gateshead
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gateshead Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sutton Compare

Top Goalscorer Babalola T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gateshead 19 / 100
Sutton 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gateshead Sutton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Gateshead scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Sutton let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Away concern: Sutton has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gateshead VS Sutton
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gateshead

(Home)
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6
Southend
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Gateshead
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0
Gateshead
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3
Derby U21
05 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 1
Solihull Moors
Page 1 of 6

Sutton

(Away)
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Sutton
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2
Birmingham U21
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 9 7 2 0 23:11 23
2 Southend 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Kidderminster 9 5 3 1 13:7 18
4 AFC Fylde 9 5 2 2 20:13 17
5 Harrogate 9 5 1 3 20:16 16
6 Sutton 9 5 1 3 10:10 16
7 Yeovil 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
8 Aldershot 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
9 Hornchurch 9 5 0 4 11:12 15
10 Altrincham 9 5 0 4 12:15 15
11 Worthing FC 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
12 Eastleigh 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
13 Halifax 9 4 1 4 14:11 13
14 Forest Green 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
15 Boston United 9 3 2 4 13:13 11
16 Carlisle 9 2 4 3 16:14 10
17 Barrow 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
18 Woking 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
19 Hartlepool 9 3 0 6 7:11 9
20 Wealdstone 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
21 Tamworth 9 2 2 5 16:23 8
22 Scunthorpe 9 2 1 6 11:15 7
23 Solihull Moors 9 1 1 7 9:23 4
24 Gateshead 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)