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Gateway United vs Sporting Lagos Prediction & H2H Stats

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL 2024/2025 game between Gateway United and Sporting Lagos finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gateway United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gateway United
30%
Draws
47%
Sporting Lagos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Lagos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Lagos come out ahead of Gateway United on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gateway United Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Lagos Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gateway United Sporting Lagos
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 NNL
Gateway United vs Sporting Lagos
2:1
Jan 5, 2025 NNL
Sporting Lagos vs Gateway United
2:0
May 14, 2023 NNL
Sporting Lagos vs Gateway United
1:0
Apr 2, 2023 NNL
Gateway United vs Sporting Lagos
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gateway United 34 / 100
Sporting Lagos 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gateway United Sporting Lagos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Lagos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gateway United scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Sporting Lagos let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gateway United remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gateway United VS Sporting Lagos
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gateway United

(Home)
11 Apr
Inter Lagos
1 : 2
Gateway United
04 Apr
Gateway United
1 : 2
Sunshine Stars
28 Mar
Heartland FC
3 : 0
Gateway United
14 Mar
Abia Comets
2 : 1
Gateway United
07 Mar
Gateway United
1 : 2
Beyond Limits FC
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Sporting Lagos

(Away)
03 Oct
Kano Pillars
1 : 1
Sporting Lagos
30 Sept
Sporting Lagos
0 : 0
Ikorodu City
26 Sept
Sporting Lagos
1 : 1
Barau
23 Sept
Enyimba International
2 : 3
Sporting Lagos
20 Sept
Sporting Lagos
0 : 2
Abia Warriors
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Warri Wolves 18 11 6 1 27:11 39
2 Crown FC 18 11 3 4 17:13 36
3 Inter Lagos 18 8 6 4 24:11 30
4 Smart City 18 7 7 4 20:17 28
5 Beyond Limits FC 18 6 6 6 30:23 24
6 Abia Comets 18 5 8 5 17:14 23
7 Edel FC 18 6 3 9 19:20 21
8 Dakkada FC 18 3 9 6 22:27 18
9 Ijele 18 4 3 11 17:33 15
10 Igbajo 18 2 3 13 7:31 9
11 1472 FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kun Khalifa 20 10 7 3 21:13 37
2 Osun United 20 11 3 6 21:13 36
3 Sporting Lagos 20 9 5 6 27:16 32
4 Rovers FC 20 9 4 7 23:21 31
5 Solution 20 8 5 7 27:24 29
6 ABS 20 8 2 10 18:23 26
7 Godswill Akpabio 20 6 6 8 22:19 24
8 First Bank 20 7 3 10 17:26 24
9 Abakaliki 20 6 5 9 17:20 23
10 Madiba 20 7 2 11 25:33 23
11 Gateway United 20 6 4 10 21:31 22
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wikki Tourists 12 7 2 3 21:10 23
2 Barau 12 5 4 3 14:10 19
3 Gombe 12 6 0 6 13:11 18
4 Sokoto United 12 5 1 6 8:9 16
5 Mighty Jets 12 4 3 5 9:12 15
6 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 4 2 6 11:16 14
7 Zamfara United 12 4 2 6 10:18 14
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yobe Stars 12 6 2 4 16:11 20
2 Doma United 12 5 4 3 14:11 19
3 Kebbi 12 5 3 4 18:14 18
4 Basira 12 4 4 4 13:14 16
5 Sporting Supreme 12 5 1 6 13:17 16
6 Kada Warriors 12 4 3 5 12:16 15
7 Adamawa Utd 12 4 1 7 15:18 13
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)