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Gava vs CD Masnou

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2014/2015 game between Gava and CD Masnou finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Masnou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Gava
30%
Draws
12%
CD Masnou
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Gava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gava Clean Sheet 16%
CD Masnou Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gava CD Masnou
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 0.94 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CD Masnou vs Gava
2:4
Oct 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs CD Masnou
1:1
Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs CD Masnou
0:3
Dec 7, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CD Masnou vs Gava
1:0
May 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs CD Masnou
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gava 30 / 100
CD Masnou 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gava CD Masnou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Masnou conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Gava went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: CD Masnou has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gava VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gava

(Home)
28 Aug
Gava
0 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Gava
3 : 4
Prat
13 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
1 : 1
Gava
06 May
Gava
2 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
29 Apr
FC Vilafranca
3 : 0
Gava
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CD Masnou

(Away)
15 May
Sabadell B
3 : 2
CD Masnou
08 May
CD Masnou
1 : 2
UE Rubi
01 May
Manlleu AEC
2 : 2
CD Masnou
24 Apr
CD Masnou
0 : 1
Peralada
17 Apr
CE Europa
3 : 1
CD Masnou
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Asco 38 21 9 8 61:34 72
2 Pobla Mafumet 38 20 9 9 54:30 69
3 CE Europa 38 19 11 8 53:32 68
4 UE Figueres 38 17 8 13 46:44 59
5 FC Vilafranca 38 17 8 13 57:56 59
6 Prat 38 15 14 9 49:34 59
7 Terrassa 38 16 11 11 56:42 59
8 UE Rubi 38 14 12 12 47:40 54
9 CD Masnou 38 13 12 13 40:48 51
10 Cerdanyola del Valles 38 12 13 13 44:49 49
11 Palamos CF 38 13 10 15 52:53 49
12 Peralada 38 13 10 15 41:50 49
13 Montanesa 38 13 9 16 41:40 48
14 Gava 38 15 3 20 42:54 48
15 Sabadell B 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
16 Santfeliuenc 38 12 11 15 41:48 47
17 Manlleu AEC 38 11 12 15 51:54 45
18 UE Castelldefels 38 10 11 17 39:47 41
19 FC Martinenc 38 9 10 19 49:70 37
20 Vilassar de Mar 38 7 7 24 28:63 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)