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Gava vs Santboia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santboia in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santboia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Gava
20%
Draws
0%
Santboia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Gava haven't matched Santboia's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gava Clean Sheet 68%
Santboia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gava Santboia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.8 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs Santboia
2:4
Oct 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Santboia vs Gava
3:0
May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs Santboia
2:1
Jan 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Santboia vs Gava
4:3
May 18, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs Santboia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gava 41 / 100
Santboia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gava Santboia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santboia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Santboia has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Solid form: Gava remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gava VS Santboia
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gava

(Home)
28 Aug
Gava
0 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Gava
3 : 4
Prat
13 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
1 : 1
Gava
06 May
Gava
2 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
29 Apr
FC Vilafranca
3 : 0
Gava
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Santboia

(Away)
29 Aug
Santboia
0 : 2
Prat
25 Aug
Santboia
0 : 1
UE Castelldefels
17 Sept
L Hospitalet
3 : 1
Santboia
18 May
Santfeliuenc
2 : 1
Santboia
11 May
Santboia
0 : 1
L Hospitalet
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Espanyol B 38 27 9 2 74:25 90
2 Sant Andreu 38 19 14 5 61:24 71
3 L Hospitalet 38 21 8 9 61:31 71
4 Terrassa 38 17 13 8 60:38 64
5 Prat 38 18 9 11 57:35 63
6 Pobla Mafumet 38 17 12 9 40:25 63
7 FC Asco 38 15 15 8 47:41 60
8 CE Europa 38 15 13 10 48:46 58
9 FC Vilafranca 38 16 6 16 48:42 54
10 UE Figueres 38 15 8 15 47:43 53
11 Horta 38 14 8 16 47:52 50
12 Cerdanyola del Valles 38 13 9 16 35:43 48
13 Santboia 38 11 15 12 35:37 48
14 Reus FC Reddis B 38 12 11 15 40:50 47
15 Santfeliuenc 38 12 10 16 43:42 46
16 UE Castelldefels 38 11 11 16 40:46 44
17 Granollers 38 11 5 22 32:54 38
18 Palamos CF 38 7 10 21 38:64 31
19 Gava 38 4 9 25 28:87 21
20 Vilassar de Mar 38 3 9 26 24:80 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)