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Gaviao vs Parauapebas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Paraense A3
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AI Match Summary

The Paraense A3 game between Gaviao and Parauapebas finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gaviao
30%
Draws
31%
Parauapebas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gaviao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Parauapebas have managed 0.81 goals a game lately — Gaviao are scoring more at 1.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Paraense A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gaviao Clean Sheet 20%
Parauapebas Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaviao Parauapebas
Matches Played 22 26
Wins 5 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Paraense A3
Gaviao vs Parauapebas
2:2
Sep 5, 2026 Paraense A3
Parauapebas vs Gaviao
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaviao 31 / 100
Parauapebas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaviao Parauapebas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaviao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaviao scored in 73% of their last 22 games.

Parauapebas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Gaviao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gaviao VS Parauapebas
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.67
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaviao

(Home)
28 Sept
Belenense
1 : 0
Gaviao
20 Sept
Altamira
0 : 1
Gaviao
16 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 2
Parauapebas
11 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 0
Altamira
05 Sept
Parauapebas
0 : 1
Gaviao
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Parauapebas

(Away)
27 Sept
Parauapebas
2 : 0
Sport Belem
23 Sept
Parauapebas
0 : 0
Altamira
16 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 2
Parauapebas
13 Sept
Altamira
1 : 2
Parauapebas
05 Sept
Parauapebas
0 : 1
Gaviao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pedreira 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 ESMAC 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pinheirense 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
2 Tesla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
3 Paraense SC 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Belenense 4 2 1 1 14:9 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaviao 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
2 Parauapebas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)