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Gaviao vs Sport Belem Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gaviao in this Paraense A3 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Gaviao
15%
Draws
40%
Sport Belem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gaviao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sport Belem have won more games recently than Gaviao.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sport Belem arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gaviao, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gaviao Clean Sheet 10%
Sport Belem Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaviao Sport Belem
Matches Played 22 19
Wins 5 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Paraense A3
Sport Belem vs Gaviao
1:1
Nov 3, 2025 Paraense A3
Gaviao vs Sport Belem
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaviao 30 / 100
Sport Belem 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaviao Sport Belem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaviao's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Sport Belem let in goals in 68% of their last 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gaviao stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gaviao VS Sport Belem
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaviao

(Home)
28 Sept
Belenense
1 : 0
Gaviao
20 Sept
Altamira
0 : 1
Gaviao
16 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 2
Parauapebas
11 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 0
Altamira
05 Sept
Parauapebas
0 : 1
Gaviao
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Sport Belem

(Away)
27 Sept
Parauapebas
2 : 0
Sport Belem
23 Sept
Sport Belem
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
13 Sept
CA Vila Rica
0 : 1
Sport Belem
05 Sept
Sport Belem
5 : 1
Belenense
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Gaviao 2
Sport Belem 1
Tesla 1
Atletico Paraense 12
Paraense SC 3
Santos PA 4
Venus 2
Belenense 3
Semi-finals
Gaviao 2
Atletico Paraense 5
Santos PA 5
Belenense 4
Final
Atletico Paraense 1
Santos PA 0