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Gavilanes de Matamoros vs Cordobes FC

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Martinez M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Gavilanes de Matamoros and Cordobes FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gavilanes de Matamoros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gavilanes de Matamoros
6%
Draws
4%
Cordobes FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gavilanes de Matamoros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cordobes FC haven't matched Gavilanes de Matamoros's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Gavilanes de Matamoros taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gavilanes de Matamoros Clean Sheet 68%
Cordobes FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gavilanes de Matamoros Cordobes FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Cordobes FC vs Gavilanes de Matamoros
1:3
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Gavilanes de Matamoros vs Cordobes FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gavilanes de Matamoros Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cordobes FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gavilanes de Matamoros 95 / 100
Cordobes FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gavilanes de Matamoros Cordobes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gavilanes de Matamoros found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Cordobes FC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Gavilanes de Matamoros stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gavilanes de Matamoros VS Cordobes FC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gavilanes de Matamoros

(Home)
12 Apr
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 0
Zacatepec
04 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
2 : 0
Gavilanes de Matamoros
28 Mar
Cordobes FC
1 : 3
Gavilanes de Matamoros
21 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 3
Gavilanes de Matamoros
15 Mar
Gavilanes de Matamoros
0 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 6

Cordobes FC

(Away)
10 Apr
Atletico Hidalgo
0 : 3
Cordobes FC
28 Mar
Cordobes FC
1 : 3
Gavilanes de Matamoros
21 Mar
Halcones de Zapopan
1 : 1
Cordobes FC
15 Mar
Lobos ULMX
3 : 1
Cordobes FC
07 Mar
Cordobes FC
0 : 1
Apodaca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alacranes de Durango26212371:1674
2Tigres de Alica26173646:2556
3Cimarrones de Sonora26157446:1954
4Leones Negros 226162842:2653
5Tecos26144849:3449
6Tritones Vallarta261511032:2746
7Mineros de Fresnillo261141140:4139
8Los Cabos United261131237:4037
9Guerreros de Autlan26851338:4232
10UA Zacatecas26841432:4929
11Ensenada FC26821630:5528
12Reboceros de La Piedad26711839:6623
13Zapotlanejo26611939:7321
14Colima FC26431924:5217
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Apodaca26212347:1966
2FC Santiago26147543:2151
3Zacatepec26128629:1545
4Halcones de Zapopan26116944:2744
5Calor De San Pedro26127737:2644
6Gavilanes de Matamoros26125931:2244
7Lobos ULMX26116933:2840
8Correcaminos 226971027:2536
9Chilpancingo2698933:4135
10Cordobes FC26861229:3030
11Zitacuaro266101022:3128
12CS Canamy26581333:5326
13Ciervos26441820:5018
14Atletico Hidalgo26441822:6216
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing de Veracruz24213055:971
2Deportiva Venados24154561:2552
3Tapachula241301151:3544
4Celaya24124842:3243
5Inter Playa Del Carmen24134735:2842
6Montaneses241221035:2838
7Pioneros241031135:3535
8Jaguares De Chiapas24941133:3234
9Heroes de Zaci241021233:4634
10Chapulineros24581121:3323
11Canoneros FC24711625:4922
12Neza FC24521725:7319
13Dragones Toluca24431721:4717
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)