Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Correcaminos 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gavilanes de Matamoros play Correcaminos 2 in the Liga Premier Serie A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gavilanes de Matamoros averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Correcaminos 2 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Gavilanes de Matamoros won 3, Correcaminos 2 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Gavilanes de Matamoros and 0.88 for Correcaminos 2. This points to a Gavilanes de Matamoros double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Gavilanes de Matamoros

Draws

Correcaminos 2

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gavilanes de Matamoros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Gavilanes de Matamoros has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Correcaminos 2.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Gavilanes de Matamoros.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Premier Serie A provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Gavilanes de Matamoros Clean Sheet 68%

Correcaminos 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gavilanes de Matamoros	Correcaminos 2
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	13	11
Draws	6	9
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.63	1
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Correcaminos 2 vs Gavilanes de Matamoros

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Oct 5, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Gavilanes de Matamoros vs Correcaminos 2

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Apr 13, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Gavilanes de Matamoros vs Correcaminos 2

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Jan 24, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Correcaminos 2 vs Gavilanes de Matamoros

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Nov 29, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Correcaminos 2 vs Gavilanes de Matamoros

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 0 - 4

0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gavilanes de Matamoros Compare

Top Goalscorer Landa J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Zapata M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Correcaminos 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cisneros D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gavilanes de Matamoros 95 / 100

Correcaminos 2 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gavilanes de Matamoros Correcaminos 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gavilanes de Matamoros scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Correcaminos 2 let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Gavilanes de Matamoros went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Correcaminos 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gavilanes de Matamoros VS Correcaminos 2

1.63 Goals Scored 1

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17