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Gazalkent vs Metallurg Bekabad

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bubanja V.
21' Event
Iminjonov N.
46' Event
Abdullaev A.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Gazalkent and Metallurg Bekabad finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gazalkent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gazalkent
30%
Draws
34%
Metallurg Bekabad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gazalkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Metallurg Bekabad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gazalkent a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gazalkent Clean Sheet 14%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gazalkent Metallurg Bekabad
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 3 11
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Pro Liga
Gazalkent vs Metallurg Bekabad
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gazalkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullaev A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Bubanja V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iminjonov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gazalkent 35 / 100
Metallurg Bekabad 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gazalkent Metallurg Bekabad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Gazalkent found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (10 games).

Defensive concern: Metallurg Bekabad conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Gazalkent went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gazalkent VS Metallurg Bekabad
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gazalkent

(Home)
10 Jun
Shortan Guzor
0 : 2
Gazalkent
03 Jun
Gazalkent
0 : 0
Jayxun
30 May
Pakhtakor II
1 : 2
Gazalkent
06 May
Gazalkent
1 : 2
TerDU
30 Apr
Yaypan
1 : 2
Gazalkent
Page 1 of 2

Metallurg Bekabad

(Away)
08 Jun
Metallurg Bekabad
7 : 0
FarDU
04 Jun
Shortan Guzor
1 : 0
Metallurg Bekabad
31 May
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 1
Kattaqurgon
05 May
Jayxun
2 : 0
Metallurg Bekabad
30 Apr
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 1
Olimpik-Mobiuz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aral1082024:726
2Shortan Guzor1072115:823
3FC Lochin1063119:721
4Metallurg Bekabad1053223:818
5Kattaqurgon1053211:618
6Gazalkent1043314:1215
7FarDU1034313:1913
8Yaypan1041513:2013
9Olimpik-Mobiuz1033418:1312
10Respublika FA1033412:1012
11Jayxun102267:168
12BuxDu102177:217
13Pakhtakor II101186:234
14TerDU101188:204
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