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Gazalkent vs Kokand 1912 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan Cup JAR Stadium, Tashkent
Gazalkent Logo

Gazalkent

2 - 1
FT
Kokand 1912 Logo

Kokand 1912

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Sadirdjanov S.
17'
Khusanov J.
46'
Sub
Khusanov J. In: Tabatadze T.
Out: Khusanov J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Gazalkent
35%
Draws
10%
Kokand 1912
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gazalkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Gazalkent have won more games recently than Kokand 1912.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on Gazalkent taking it.
  • Gazalkent have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gazalkent, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gazalkent Clean Sheet 20%
Kokand 1912 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gazalkent Kokand 1912
Matches Played 22 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.86 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Uzbekistan Cup
Gazalkent vs Kokand 1912
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gazalkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadirdjanov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tadjiev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kokand 1912 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nimely S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gazalkent 49 / 100
Kokand 1912 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gazalkent Kokand 1912

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gazalkent Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gazalkent went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gazalkent's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Kokand 1912's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gazalkent VS Kokand 1912
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gazalkent

(Home)
08 Oct
Gazalkent
3 : 2
Pakhtakor II
22 Sept
TerDU
1 : 4
Gazalkent
16 Sept
Gazalkent
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
11 Sept
Gazalkent
0 : 0
Yaypan
06 Sept
FC Lochin
1 : 1
Gazalkent
Page 1 of 5

Kokand 1912

(Away)
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0
Kokand 1912
16 Sept
Gazalkent
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Din. Samarkand
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Buxoro
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Neftchi Fargona 1
Pakhtakor 0
Bunyodkor 0
Lok. Tashkent 1
Sogdiana 2
Jayxun 0
Andijan 3
Olimpik-Mobiuz 2
OKMK 2
Xorazm Urganch 1
Termez Surkhon 0
PFK Guliston 1
Navbahor Namangan 1
Nasaf Qarshi 0
Gazalkent 2
Kokand 1912 1
Quarter-finals
Neftchi Fargona -
Lok. Tashkent -
Sogdiana -
Andijan -
OKMK -
PFK Guliston -
Navbahor Namangan -
Gazalkent -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -