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Gazalkent vs Metallurg Bekabad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
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Match Events

6' Event
Bubanja V.
21' Event
Iminjonov N.
46' Event
Abdullaev A.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Gazalkent and Metallurg Bekabad finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gazalkent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Gazalkent
20%
Draws
46%
Metallurg Bekabad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Metallurg Bekabad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Metallurg Bekabad a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Gazalkent Clean Sheet 13%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gazalkent Metallurg Bekabad
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.86 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Pro Liga
Gazalkent vs Metallurg Bekabad
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gazalkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullaev A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Bubanja V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iminjonov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gazalkent 27 / 100
Metallurg Bekabad 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gazalkent Metallurg Bekabad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metallurg Bekabad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Solid form: Gazalkent remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gazalkent found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (22 games).

Metallurg Bekabad let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gazalkent VS Metallurg Bekabad
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gazalkent

(Home)
08 Oct
Gazalkent
3 : 2
Pakhtakor II
22 Sept
TerDU
1 : 4
Gazalkent
16 Sept
Gazalkent
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
11 Sept
Gazalkent
0 : 0
Yaypan
06 Sept
FC Lochin
1 : 1
Gazalkent
Page 1 of 5

Metallurg Bekabad

(Away)
08 Oct
Kattaqurgon
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
20 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Jayxun
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
02 Sept
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
27 Aug
BuxDu
0 : 4
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 21 16 4 1 45:13 52
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Gazalkent 21 10 5 6 39:25 35
7 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 21 3 1 17 15:49 10
14 TerDU 21 1 1 19 12:51 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)