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Gazalkent vs Pakhtakor II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Parpiev M.
48' Event
Nabatov V.
51' Event
Mukhammadov A.

AI Match Summary

Gazalkent in this Pro Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gazalkent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Gazalkent
20%
Draws
17%
Pakhtakor II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gazalkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Gazalkent have won more games recently than Pakhtakor II.
  • Gazalkent are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gazalkent Clean Sheet 20%
Pakhtakor II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gazalkent Pakhtakor II
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 11 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 23
Goals Scored 1.86 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Pro Liga
Gazalkent vs Pakhtakor II
3:2
May 30, 2026 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs Gazalkent
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gazalkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Nabatov V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Pakhtakor II Compare

Top Goalscorer Parpiev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mukhammadov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gazalkent 85 / 100
Pakhtakor II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gazalkent Pakhtakor II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gazalkent Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pakhtakor II has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gazalkent stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Gazalkent scored in 68% of their last 22 games.

Scoring Trends

Gazalkent VS Pakhtakor II
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gazalkent

(Home)
08 Oct
Gazalkent
3 : 2
Pakhtakor II
22 Sept
TerDU
1 : 4
Gazalkent
16 Sept
Gazalkent
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
11 Sept
Gazalkent
0 : 0
Yaypan
06 Sept
FC Lochin
1 : 1
Gazalkent
Page 1 of 5

Pakhtakor II

(Away)
08 Oct
Gazalkent
3 : 2
Pakhtakor II
21 Sept
Pakhtakor II
0 : 4
Shortan Guzor
12 Sept
Jayxun
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
28 Aug
Pakhtakor II
3 : 0
TerDU
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 21 16 4 1 45:13 52
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Gazalkent 21 10 5 6 39:25 35
7 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 21 3 1 17 15:49 10
14 TerDU 21 1 1 19 12:51 4
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