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Gaziantep vs Erzurumspor FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gaziantep host Erzurumspor FK in the Super Lig. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Gaziantep have averaged 1.28 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Erzurumspor FK's 1.93 scored and 0.9 conceded. Past meetings favor Erzurumspor FK slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2021, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 0.69, favoring Erzurumspor FK. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gaziantep
30%
Draws
47%
Erzurumspor FK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Erzurumspor FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Erzurumspor FK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gaziantep Clean Sheet 20%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaziantep Erzurumspor FK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.28 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2021 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Erzurumspor FK
2:3
Jan 2, 2021 Super Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Gaziantep
1:1
May 19, 2018 1. Lig
Gaziantep vs Erzurumspor FK
0:1
Apr 7, 2018 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Gaziantep
2:1
Nov 26, 2017 1. Lig
Gaziantep vs Erzurumspor FK
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaziantep 32 / 100
Erzurumspor FK 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaziantep Erzurumspor FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaziantep scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Erzurumspor FK has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Gaziantep remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gaziantep VS Erzurumspor FK
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaziantep

(Home)
11 Oct
Gaziantep
0 : 3
Corum FK
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
07 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 4
Gaziantep
29 Aug
Gaziantep
1 : 2
Rizespor
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Erzurumspor FK

(Away)
10 Oct
Alanyaspor
0 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Konyaspor
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 16:11 16
2 Besiktas 7 5 0 2 16:8 15
3 Amedspor 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
4 Fenerbahce 7 4 1 2 19:6 13
5 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 16:5 13
6 Corum FK 8 4 1 3 18:13 13
7 Alanyaspor 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Kocaelispor 7 4 0 3 8:6 12
9 Erzurumspor FK 8 3 2 3 5:11 11
10 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 8:8 10
11 Rizespor 8 3 1 4 8:11 10
12 Basaksehir 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
13 Gaziantep 7 2 2 3 7:10 8
14 Genclerbirligi 7 2 2 3 7:15 8
15 Goztepe 7 1 3 3 15:15 6
16 Konyaspor 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
17 Samsunspor 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
18 Eyupspor 8 1 0 7 2:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)