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Gaziantep vs F. Karagumruk

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 Gaziantep Stadyumu
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gaziantep play F. Karagumruk in the Super Lig 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gaziantep averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. F. Karagumruk averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Gaziantep won 3, F. Karagumruk won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Gaziantep and 1.44 for F. Karagumruk. This points to a F. Karagumruk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Gaziantep
24%
Draws
38%
F. Karagumruk
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: F. Karagumruk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Gaziantep picked up more points recently compared to F. Karagumruk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Gaziantep Clean Sheet 16%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaziantep F. Karagumruk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs F. Karagumruk
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Gaziantep
0:2
May 18, 2024 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs F. Karagumruk
3:1
Dec 23, 2023 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Gaziantep
0:3
May 7, 2023 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs F. Karagumruk
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gaziantep Compare

Top Goalscorer Maxim A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

F. Karagumruk Compare

Top Goalscorer Serginho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaziantep 37 / 100
F. Karagumruk 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaziantep F. Karagumruk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: F. Karagumruk or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gaziantep attacking → ← attacking F. Karagumruk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaziantep scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

F. Karagumruk let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Gaziantep went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

F. Karagumruk lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 37
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Galatasaray34245577:3077
2Fenerbahce342111277:3774
3Trabzonspor34209561:3969
4Besiktas34179859:4060
5Basaksehir34169958:3557
6Goztepe341413742:3255
7Samsunspor341312946:4551
8Rizespor3410111346:5241
9Konyaspor3410101443:5040
10Kocaelispor349101526:3837
11Alanyaspor347161141:4137
12Gaziantep349101543:5837
13Kasimpasa348111533:4935
14Genclerbirligi34971836:4734
15Eyupspor34891733:4833
16Antalyaspor34881833:5532
17Kayserispor346121627:6230
18F. Karagumruk34862031:5430