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GB United Vilnius vs Grifas Siauliai

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GB United Vilnius play Grifas Siauliai in the Lithuanian Cup 2011/2012. GB United Vilnius are favorites here. Recently, GB United Vilnius averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Grifas Siauliai averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, GB United Vilnius won 1, Grifas Siauliai won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 28, 2011 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for GB United Vilnius and 0.50 for Grifas Siauliai. This points to a GB United Vilnius double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
GB United Vilnius
25%
Draws
15%
Grifas Siauliai
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: GB United Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • GB United Vilnius picked up more points recently compared to Grifas Siauliai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20%
GB United Vilnius Clean Sheet 31%
Grifas Siauliai Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 18%
Second Half Goal 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GB United Vilnius Grifas Siauliai
Matches Played 2 2
Wins 1 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 2
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2011 Lithuanian Cup
GB United Vilnius vs Grifas Siauliai
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GB United Vilnius 60 / 100
Grifas Siauliai 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GB United Vilnius Grifas Siauliai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GB United Vilnius Win (1)
Secondary Pick GB United Vilnius & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +42.8%
7.14
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

GB United Vilnius attacking → ← attacking Grifas Siauliai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GB United Vilnius scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

Grifas Siauliai let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

GB United Vilnius went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Grifas Siauliai lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 0
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50