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GD Braganca vs Ponte da Barca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Matos Monteiro G.
68' Event
Moreira L.
82' Event
Passas Luciano J. G.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between GD Braganca and Ponte da Barca finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Braganca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
GD Braganca
15%
Draws
27%
Ponte da Barca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Braganca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GD Braganca come out ahead of Ponte da Barca on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans GD Braganca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • GD Braganca have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
GD Braganca Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte da Barca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Braganca Ponte da Barca
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 4
Draws 8 3
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 1.68 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Ponte da Barca
3:0
Nov 13, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ponte da Barca vs GD Braganca
2:1
Aug 20, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Ponte da Barca
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Braganca Compare

Top Goalscorer Matos Monteiro G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreira L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ponte da Barca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Braganca 95 / 100
Ponte da Barca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Braganca Ponte da Barca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Braganca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponte da Barca let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

GD Braganca went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: GD Braganca scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

GD Braganca VS Ponte da Barca
1 Goals Scored 0.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
50% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Braganca

(Home)
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
13 Sept
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Ponte da Barca
06 Sept
Maia Lidador
0 : 1
GD Braganca
30 Aug
Rebordelo
0 : 4
GD Braganca
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0
Braga B
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Ponte da Barca

(Away)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Ponte da Barca
06 Sept
Ponte da Barca
2 : 3
AD Limianos
30 Aug
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
23 Aug
Maia Lidador
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Tirsense 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chaves B 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
4 Braga B 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
5 AD Limianos 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
6 Vila Mea 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
7 Celoricense 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
8 CDC Montalegre 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
9 Rebordosa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
10 Brito 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
11 Ponte da Barca 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
12 Maria de Fonte 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
13 Maia Lidador 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Vinhais 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)