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GD Coruchense vs Sporting Ideal

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group E game between GD Coruchense and Sporting Ideal finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Ideal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
GD Coruchense
15%
Draws
36%
Sporting Ideal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Coruchense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GD Coruchense come out ahead of Sporting Ideal on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans GD Coruchense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
GD Coruchense Clean Sheet 68%
Sporting Ideal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Coruchense Sporting Ideal
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
GD Coruchense vs Sporting Ideal
1:5
Dec 5, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Sporting Ideal vs GD Coruchense
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Coruchense 95 / 100
Sporting Ideal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Coruchense Sporting Ideal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Coruchense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

GD Coruchense scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Sporting Ideal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Sporting Ideal registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GD Coruchense VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Coruchense

(Home)
16 Apr
1º Dezembro
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
08 Apr
GD Coruchense
2 : 4
Mortagua FC
02 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
19 Mar
GD Coruchense
2 : 2
Sertanense
12 Mar
Alcains
0 : 3
GD Coruchense
Page 1 of 7

Sporting Ideal

(Away)
08 May
SC Praiense
3 : 0
Sporting Ideal
01 May
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Apr
Sporting Ideal
1 : 2
Operario
10 Apr
Sporting Ideal
2 : 4
SC Praiense
03 Apr
CD Rabo Peixe
6 : 0
Sporting Ideal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 18 10 3 5 25:12 33
2 Pero Pinheiro 18 9 4 5 21:19 31
3 GS Loures 18 9 3 6 29:22 30
4 Sintrense 18 6 11 1 19:12 29
5 Sacavenense 18 7 8 3 16:13 29
6 Operario 18 5 6 7 14:15 21
7 GD Coruchense 18 6 3 9 26:29 21
8 Sporting Ideal 18 4 6 8 22:25 18
9 O Elvas CAD 18 4 5 9 11:25 17
10 CD Rabo Peixe 18 3 5 10 13:24 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)