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GD Joane vs Paredes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
GD Joane Logo

GD Joane

1 - 1
FT
Paredes Logo

Paredes

Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Dias F.
65'
Silva M.
80' Event
Gustavo L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between GD Joane and Paredes finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
GD Joane
15%
Draws
64%
Paredes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Paredes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Paredes a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
GD Joane Clean Sheet 20%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Joane Paredes
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Joane vs Paredes
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Paredes vs GD Joane
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Joane Compare

Top Goalscorer Dias F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Paredes Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Joane 16 / 100
Paredes 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Joane Paredes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paredes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Paredes conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

GD Joane scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

GD Joane has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paredes
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Joane

(Home)
13 Apr
Brito
2 : 1
GD Joane
06 Apr
GD Joane
0 : 3
GD Braganca
29 Mar
Vitoria Guimaraes B
3 : 2
GD Joane
16 Mar
GD Joane
2 : 1
Rebordosa
08 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 0
GD Joane
Page 1 of 6

Paredes

(Away)
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1
Paredes
30 Aug
Ermesinde
1 : 3
Paredes
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
Paredes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)