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GD Joane vs Tirsense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between GD Joane and Tirsense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
GD Joane
15%
Draws
59%
Tirsense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tirsense come out ahead of GD Joane on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tirsense's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
GD Joane Clean Sheet 20%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Joane Tirsense
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 7 16
Draws 7 12
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Joane vs Tirsense
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs GD Joane
1:2
Apr 19, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Tirsense vs GD Joane
1:1
Mar 2, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Joane vs Tirsense
1:2
Dec 8, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Joane vs Tirsense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Joane 20 / 100
Tirsense 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Joane Tirsense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

GD Joane's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tirsense conceded in 53% of 38 recent games.

GD Joane went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tirsense
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Joane

(Home)
13 Apr
Brito
2 : 1
GD Joane
06 Apr
GD Joane
0 : 3
GD Braganca
29 Mar
Vitoria Guimaraes B
3 : 2
GD Joane
16 Mar
GD Joane
2 : 1
Rebordosa
08 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 0
GD Joane
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Tirsense

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)