Sport Picks
GD Peniche vs Uniao Da Serra
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 
AI Match Summary
GD Peniche play Uniao Da Serra in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C. It looks like a close match. Recently, GD Peniche averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Uniao Da Serra averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, GD Peniche won 1, Uniao Da Serra won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for GD Peniche and 1.75 for Uniao Da Serra. This points to a Uniao Da Serra double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- GD Peniche picked up more points recently compared to Uniao Da Serra.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.75 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | GD Peniche | Uniao Da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
GD Peniche Compare
Uniao Da Serra Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
GD Peniche scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Uniao Da Serra let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
GD Peniche went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Uniao Da Serra lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 32 |
| 10 | GD Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico FC | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | 17 |