Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Vigor Mocidade in this Taça de Portugal 2009/2010 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Peniche
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to GD Peniche lately — more wins on the board than Vigor Mocidade.
- GD Peniche are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- GD Peniche have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Vigor Mocidade, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
GD Peniche Clean Sheet 18%
Vigor Mocidade Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | GD Peniche | Vigor Mocidade |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 11 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2009 Taça de Portugal
GD Peniche vs Vigor Mocidade
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
GD Peniche 36 / 100
Vigor Mocidade 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
GD Peniche Vigor Mocidade
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vigor Mocidade has conceded goals in 82% of their last 11 outings.
Difficult form: Vigor Mocidade registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
GD Peniche found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (34 games).
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
GD Peniche VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
GD Peniche
(Home) 18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1 SC Lusitania
12 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
3 : 1 GD Peniche
04 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2 SB Castelo Branco
29 Mar
Samora Correia
5 : 2 GD Peniche
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2 GD Peniche
Page 1 of 7
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1 SC Lusitania
04 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2 SB Castelo Branco
15 Mar
GD Peniche
0 : 1 Vitoria Sernache
28 Feb
GD Peniche
2 : 0 Naval 1893
14 Feb
GD Peniche
1 : 1 Fatima
Page 1 of 4
Vigor Mocidade
(Away) 02 Oct
SC Pombal
2 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
11 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1 Uniao de Coimbra
06 Sept
Sporting Ideal
3 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
05 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1 CD Ribeira Brava
22 Nov
Camacha
1 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
Page 1 of 3
02 Oct
SC Pombal
2 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
06 Sept
Sporting Ideal
3 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
22 Nov
Camacha
1 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
18 Oct
Cruzado Canicense
1 : 4 Vigor Mocidade
13 Sept
GD Peniche
0 : 1 Vigor Mocidade
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chaves 3
Leca 0
Coimbroes 2
Uniao Da Serra 3
Academica 2
Portimonense 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Beira Mar 4
Nacional 2
Varzim 1
Vila Mea 0
Fatima 3
Tirsense 1
Oliv. Bairro 0
Aljustrelense 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Pinhalnovense 1
Sintrense 0
Operario 1
Oeiras 6
Vigor Mocidade 4
Cruzado Canicense 1
Paredes 1
Camacha 3
Aliados Lordelo 2
Machico 0
Casa Pia 1
Leixoes 2
Gil Vicente 6
Nelas 1
Padroense 0
Naval 1
Rio Ave 2
Esmoriz 1
Maritimo 1
Santa Clara 2
Benfica 6
Monsanto 0
Feirense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Freamunde 3
Carregado 0
Merelinense 1
Leiria 2
Vitoria Setubal 2
Atletico CP 0
Covilha 0
Braga 1
Sporting CP 3
Penafiel 0
Cinfaes 1
Pescadores Caparica 2
U. Madeira 2
Alcains 0
Vieira 0
Mafra 1
BSAD 3
Oriental 1
Olhanense 1
Valenciano 2
Oliveirense 2
Tondela 1
Sertanense 0
FC Porto 4
1/16-finals
Chaves 2
Uniao Da Serra 0
Academica 1
Beira Mar 2
Nacional 1
Fatima 0
Tirsense 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Oeiras 1
Vigor Mocidade 0
Camacha 1
Aliados Lordelo 1
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Santa Clara 0
Benfica 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Freamunde 3
Leiria 2
Vitoria Setubal 0
Braga 3
Sporting CP 4
Pescadores Caparica 1
U. Madeira 1
Mafra 2
BSAD 1
Valenciano 0
Oliveirense 0
FC Porto 2
1/8-finals
Chaves 1
Beira Mar 0
Nacional 1
Pacos Ferreira 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Camacha 0
Aliados Lordelo 0
Naval 1
Rio Ave 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Freamunde 1
Braga 3
Sporting CP 4
Mafra 3
BSAD 2
FC Porto 3
Quarter-finals
Chaves 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Pinhalnovense 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Braga 0
Sporting CP 2
FC Porto 5
Semi-finals
Chaves 3
Naval 1
Rio Ave 1
FC Porto 7
Final
Chaves 1
FC Porto 2
