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GD Resende vs Florgrade

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Costa G.
45' Event
Correia T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
GD Resende
20%
Draws
48%
Florgrade
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Florgrade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • GD Resende haven't matched Florgrade's recent run of results.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
GD Resende Clean Sheet 17%
Florgrade Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Resende Florgrade
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.34 1.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Florgrade vs GD Resende
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Resende vs Florgrade
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Correia T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.67

Florgrade Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Resende 36 / 100
Florgrade 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Resende Florgrade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Florgrade Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Florgrade's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

GD Resende has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

GD Resende scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

GD Resende VS Florgrade
1.43 Goals Scored 1.25
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Resende

(Home)
18 Apr
FC Alpendorada
3 : 4
GD Resende
12 Apr
GD Resende
0 : 2
Cinfaes
04 Apr
Florgrade
1 : 1
GD Resende
22 Mar
GD Resende
1 : 1
Leca
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

Florgrade

(Away)
27 Sept
Camacha
0 : 1
Florgrade
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
23 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Guarda FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)