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GD Resende vs Guarda Desportiva

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guarda Desportiva in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarda Desportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
GD Resende
6%
Draws
4%
Guarda Desportiva
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: GD Resende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GD Resende lately — more wins on the board than Guarda Desportiva.
  • Model gives GD Resende a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
GD Resende Clean Sheet 20%
Guarda Desportiva Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Resende Guarda Desportiva
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 8 2
Draws 11 5
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Resende vs Guarda Desportiva
2:4
Nov 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Guarda Desportiva vs GD Resende
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Resende 85 / 100
Guarda Desportiva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Resende Guarda Desportiva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GDR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarda Desportiva has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: GD Resende remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Guarda Desportiva lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GD Resende VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Salgueiros26157439:2552
2Lusitania FC26157449:2352
3Rebordosa26149342:2351
4Beira Mar26139435:2148
5Maritimo B26127739:2643
6Valadares Gaia FC261010639:2940
7Gondomar26108833:3238
8Camacha26971030:3434
9Leca261031329:2933
10Machico26781131:4029
11FC Alpendorada26851330:4329
12Castro Daire26481423:3420
13GD Resende26451730:5017
14Guarda Desportiva26251921:618