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GD Resende vs Leca

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
GD Resende Logo

GD Resende

1 - 1
FT
Leca Logo

Leca

Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Fortes M.
90' Event
Paixao G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between GD Resende and Leca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
GD Resende
35%
Draws
25%
Leca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GD Resende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leca come out ahead of GD Resende on wins alone.
  • Model gives GD Resende a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
GD Resende Clean Sheet 68%
Leca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Resende Leca
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.97 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Resende vs Leca
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs GD Resende
3:1
Jan 15, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs GD Resende
0:1
Sep 18, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Resende vs Leca
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Taça de Portugal
Leca vs GD Resende
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Paixao G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Leca Compare

Top Goalscorer Fortes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Resende 86 / 100
Leca 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Resende Leca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Resende Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leca has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: GD Resende remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

GD Resende's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

GD Resende VS Leca
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Resende

(Home)
18 Apr
FC Alpendorada
3 : 4
GD Resende
12 Apr
GD Resende
0 : 2
Cinfaes
04 Apr
Florgrade
1 : 1
GD Resende
22 Mar
GD Resende
1 : 1
Leca
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

Leca

(Away)
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
15 Jul
Santa Clara
4 : 0
Leca
10 Jun
Leca
2 : 1
Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)