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GD Tourizense vs Aljustrelense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GD Tourizense in this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
GD Tourizense
15%
Draws
26%
Aljustrelense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Tourizense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Aljustrelense haven't matched GD Tourizense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans GD Tourizense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • GD Tourizense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor GD Tourizense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
GD Tourizense Clean Sheet 20%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Tourizense Aljustrelense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.4 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Aljustrelense vs GD Tourizense
1:0
May 28, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Tourizense vs Aljustrelense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Tourizense 85 / 100
Aljustrelense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Tourizense Aljustrelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Tourizense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Tourizense's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aljustrelense has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

GD Tourizense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aljustrelense
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Tourizense

(Home)
18 Jun
SC Mirandela
3 : 0
GD Tourizense
11 Jun
GD Tourizense
2 : 0
SC Mirandela
04 Jun
Aljustrelense
1 : 0
GD Tourizense
28 May
GD Tourizense
2 : 0
Aljustrelense
14 May
GD Tourizense
3 : 0
Cinfaes
Page 1 of 6

Aljustrelense

(Away)
27 Sept
Aljustrelense
0 : 2
GD Alcochetense
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
13 Sept
Portel
1 : 1
Aljustrelense
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
GD Braganca 3
SC Angrense 2
Atletico CP 0
CD Gouveia 1
GD Tourizense 2
Aljustrelense 1
Carapinheirense 0
SC Mirandela 2
Final
GD Braganca 6
CD Gouveia 2
GD Tourizense 2
SC Mirandela 3