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GE Bage vs Brasil de Pelotas

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Guty
50' Event
Michel Henrique

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
GE Bage
30%
Draws
34%
Brasil de Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GE Bage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • GE Bage haven't matched Brasil de Pelotas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives GE Bage a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Brasil de Pelotas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 68%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GE Bage Brasil de Pelotas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 12
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Copa FGF
GE Bage vs Brasil de Pelotas
1:1
May 27, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs GE Bage
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GE Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Guty
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GE Bage 46 / 100
Brasil de Pelotas 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GE Bage Brasil de Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Brasil de Pelotas conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: GE Bage stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

GE Bage found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

GE Bage VS Brasil de Pelotas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

GE Bage

(Home)
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
04 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

Brasil de Pelotas

(Away)
23 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 2
Gramadense
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)