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GE Bage vs Guarany de Bage

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Diego Rocha
69' Event
Marcos Paulo
90' Event
Joao Victor

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Guarany de Bage advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
GE Bage
39%
Draws
31%
Guarany de Bage
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • GE Bage carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • GE Bage have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarany de Bage, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 68%
Guarany de Bage Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GE Bage Guarany de Bage
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 0.88 0.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Copa FGF
GE Bage vs Guarany de Bage
1:2
May 20, 2026 Copa FGF
Guarany de Bage vs GE Bage
0:1
Jun 4, 2023 Gaucho 2
Guarany de Bage vs GE Bage
2:2
May 28, 2023 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Guarany de Bage
0:1
Sep 9, 2021 Gaucho 2
Guarany de Bage vs GE Bage
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GE Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Rocha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Guarany de Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos Paulo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Victor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GE Bage 41 / 100
Guarany de Bage 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GE Bage Guarany de Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarany de Bage let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

GE Bage has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

GE Bage found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

GE Bage VS Guarany de Bage
0.88 Goals Scored 0.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

GE Bage

(Home)
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
04 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
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Guarany de Bage

(Away)
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1
Cianorte
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0
Guarany de Bage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)