Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GE Bage vs Farroupilha

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Michel Henrique
87' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
GE Bage
30%
Draws
31%
Farroupilha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GE Bage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • GE Bage have won more games recently than Farroupilha.
  • Win probability leans GE Bage's way, sitting at 50%.
  • GE Bage have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 20%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GE Bage Farroupilha
Matches Played 28 14
Wins 5 4
Draws 12 5
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.64 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Copa FGF
Farroupilha vs GE Bage
1:2
May 13, 2026 Copa FGF
GE Bage vs Farroupilha
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GE Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Farroupilha Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GE Bage 49 / 100
Farroupilha 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GE Bage Farroupilha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GE Bage Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farroupilha has conceded goals in 79% of their last 14 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: GE Bage stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Farroupilha lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GE Bage VS Farroupilha
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

GE Bage

(Home)
13 Sept
GE Bage
0 : 2
GE Gloria
10 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 0
GE Bage
06 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
SC Gaucho
01 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Passo Fundo
26 Aug
GE Bage
1 : 0
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 6

Farroupilha

(Away)
12 Sept
Farroupilha
0 : 2
Futvida
06 Sept
Clube 1992
1 : 2
Farroupilha
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
10 Jun
Brasil de Pelotas
4 : 0
Farroupilha
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gramadense 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Santa Cruz RS 6 2 4 0 10:7 10
3 Monsoon 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
4 Brasil de Farroupilha 6 0 4 2 5:7 4
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasil de Pelotas 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 GE Bage 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
3 Guarany de Bage 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Farroupilha 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)