Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GE Bage vs Farroupilha

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Michel Henrique
87' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa FGF tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
GE Bage
22%
Draws
18%
Farroupilha
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: GE Bage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • GE Bage have won more games recently than Farroupilha.
  • Win probability leans GE Bage's way, sitting at 60%.
  • GE Bage have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 20%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GE Bage Farroupilha
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 10 3
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 0.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Copa FGF
Farroupilha vs GE Bage
1:2
May 13, 2026 Copa FGF
GE Bage vs Farroupilha
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GE Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Farroupilha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GE Bage 58 / 100
Farroupilha 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GE Bage Farroupilha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farroupilha has conceded goals in 75% of their last 12 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: GE Bage stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Farroupilha lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GE Bage VS Farroupilha
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 67%
0% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

GE Bage

(Home)
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
04 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 7

Farroupilha

(Away)
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
10 Jun
Brasil de Pelotas
4 : 0
Farroupilha
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
27 May
Guarany de Bage
0 : 0
Farroupilha
21 May
Farroupilha
0 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)