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Gebenbach vs Fortuna Regensburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord game between Gebenbach and Fortuna Regensburg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Gebenbach
35%
Draws
45%
Fortuna Regensburg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortuna Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Gebenbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Fortuna Regensburg taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Gebenbach Clean Sheet 10%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gebenbach Fortuna Regensburg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.86 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs Fortuna Regensburg
1:1
Apr 6, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs Fortuna Regensburg
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Gebenbach
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Gebenbach
2:2
Sep 21, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs Fortuna Regensburg
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gebenbach 18 / 100
Fortuna Regensburg 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gebenbach Fortuna Regensburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Regensburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gebenbach scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Fortuna Regensburg let in goals in 100% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Gebenbach has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gebenbach VS Fortuna Regensburg
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gebenbach

(Home)
03 Oct
Stadeln
1 : 0
Gebenbach
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
18 Sept
Weiden
1 : 3
Gebenbach
11 Sept
Gebenbach
0 : 4
Bayern Hof
04 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 1
Gebenbach
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Fortuna Regensburg

(Away)
03 Oct
Fortuna Regensburg
2 : 2
Regensburg II
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
19 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 1
Stadeln
12 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
6 : 2
Grossbardorf
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 14 12 1 1 32:9 37
2 Wurzburger FV 14 8 3 3 26:17 27
3 Gebenbach 14 8 2 4 23:17 26
4 Bamberg 14 7 4 3 24:13 25
5 TSV Kornburg 14 6 6 2 25:13 24
6 Bayern Hof 14 6 5 3 31:23 23
7 Regensburg II 14 6 5 3 28:22 23
8 Aschaffenburg 14 6 3 5 26:20 21
9 Fortuna Regensburg 14 6 3 5 31:22 21
10 Stadeln 14 5 5 4 17:20 20
11 Neudrossenfeld 14 6 1 7 20:22 19
12 DJK Ammerthal 14 4 3 7 18:27 15
13 Ingolstadt II 14 3 4 7 20:28 13
14 Weiden 14 3 4 7 21:30 13
15 Grossbardorf 14 4 1 9 16:26 13
16 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 14 2 5 7 14:29 11
17 Nordlingen 14 2 4 8 14:31 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 14 1 3 10 10:27 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)