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Gebenbach vs Regensburg II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gebenbach host Regensburg II in the Oberliga Bayern Nord. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Gebenbach have averaged 2 scored and 1.15 conceded recently, against Regensburg II's 2.03 scored and 1.57 conceded. Past meetings favor Regensburg II slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 15, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.88, favoring Gebenbach. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Gebenbach
35%
Draws
45%
Regensburg II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Regensburg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gebenbach lately — more wins on the board than Regensburg II.
  • Model gives Regensburg II a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gebenbach Clean Sheet 10%
Regensburg II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gebenbach Regensburg II
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 22 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs Regensburg II
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Regensburg II vs Gebenbach
5:1
Nov 9, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs Regensburg II
1:1
Jul 31, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Regensburg II vs Gebenbach
5:2
Mar 2, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Regensburg II vs Gebenbach
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gebenbach 14 / 100
Regensburg II 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gebenbach Regensburg II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Regensburg II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gebenbach scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Regensburg II conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gebenbach stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gebenbach VS Regensburg II
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gebenbach

(Home)
03 Oct
Stadeln
1 : 0
Gebenbach
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
18 Sept
Weiden
1 : 3
Gebenbach
11 Sept
Gebenbach
0 : 4
Bayern Hof
04 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 1
Gebenbach
Page 1 of 7

Regensburg II

(Away)
03 Oct
Fortuna Regensburg
2 : 2
Regensburg II
26 Sept
Regensburg II
3 : 1
Weiden
19 Sept
Bayern Hof
2 : 2
Regensburg II
12 Sept
Regensburg II
3 : 0
TSV Kornburg
06 Sept
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 2
Regensburg II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 14 12 1 1 32:9 37
2 Wurzburger FV 13 8 2 3 25:16 26
3 Gebenbach 13 8 2 3 22:13 26
4 TSV Kornburg 14 6 6 2 25:13 24
5 Bamberg 13 7 3 3 22:11 24
6 Regensburg II 13 6 4 3 28:22 22
7 Fortuna Regensburg 13 6 3 4 31:21 21
8 Bayern Hof 13 5 5 3 26:21 20
9 Stadeln 13 5 4 4 17:20 19
10 Neudrossenfeld 14 6 1 7 20:22 19
11 Aschaffenburg 13 5 3 5 25:20 18
12 DJK Ammerthal 13 4 2 7 16:25 14
13 Ingolstadt II 14 3 4 7 20:28 13
14 Weiden 13 3 3 7 20:29 12
15 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 14 2 5 7 14:29 11
16 Grossbardorf 13 3 1 9 12:25 10
17 Nordlingen 13 2 4 7 12:26 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 14 1 3 10 10:27 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)