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Gebzespor vs Korfez SK

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cidemli E.
39' Event
Altunkan I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Gebzespor
20%
Draws
0%
Korfez SK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gebzespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gebzespor lately — more wins on the board than Korfez SK.
  • Win probability leans Gebzespor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gebzespor Clean Sheet 20%
Korfez SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gebzespor Korfez SK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 1
Draws 12 5
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 0.97 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2019 3. Lig Group 1
Gebzespor vs Korfez SK
1:1
Oct 13, 2018 3. Lig Group 1
Korfez SK vs Gebzespor
2:2
Mar 6, 2011 2. Lig White Group
Gebzespor vs Korfez SK
0:0
Oct 17, 2010 2. Lig White Group
Korfez SK vs Gebzespor
3:1
Mar 31, 2010 TFF 2. Lig Group 1
Korfez SK vs Gebzespor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gebzespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Altunkan I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Korfez SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Cidemli E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gebzespor 85 / 100
Korfez SK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gebzespor Korfez SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gebzespor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korfez SK has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Korfez SK lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gebzespor remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gebzespor VS Korfez SK
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gebzespor

(Home)
04 May
Erbaaspor
1 : 0
Gebzespor
28 Apr
Gebzespor
2 : 1
Ergene Velimese
13 Apr
Silivrispor
0 : 0
Gebzespor
07 Apr
Gebzespor
1 : 0
Karakopru
03 Apr
Nevsehir
1 : 1
Gebzespor
Page 1 of 6

Korfez SK

(Away)
04 May
Korfez SK
1 : 4
Nazillispor
21 Apr
Iskenderunspor
7 : 1
Korfez SK
14 Apr
Korfez SK
0 : 3
Tepecik
07 Apr
Yomraspor
3 : 0
Korfez SK
03 Apr
Korfez SK
0 : 2
Batman Petrolspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trabzon FK 32 18 12 2 47:17 66
2 Nazillispor 32 17 14 1 57:27 65
3 Bucaspor 1928 32 16 11 5 48:27 59
4 Nevsehir 32 16 9 7 50:30 57
5 Ergene Velimese 32 13 11 8 43:33 50
6 Karakopru 32 12 8 12 44:45 44
7 Hopaspor 32 10 12 10 33:33 42
8 Erbaaspor 32 9 13 10 35:35 40
9 Yomraspor 32 10 9 13 39:46 39
10 Silivrispor 32 10 9 13 30:29 39
11 Batman Petrolspor 32 10 8 14 36:44 38
12 Sile Yildizspor 32 11 5 16 45:47 38
13 Iskenderunspor 32 7 16 9 47:43 37
14 Kozanspor 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
15 Tepecik 32 10 7 15 36:46 37
16 Gebzespor 32 7 13 12 30:38 34
17 Korfez SK 32 1 5 26 16:88 8
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)