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Geca vs Bardejov

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - East 2025/2026 game between Geca and Bardejov finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bardejov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Geca
20%
Draws
73%
Bardejov
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bardejov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bardejov come out ahead of Geca on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bardejov's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 4. liga - East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Geca Clean Sheet 10%
Bardejov Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geca Bardejov
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 20
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 3
Goals Scored 1.17 2.37
Goals Conceded 2.24 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 4. liga - East
Geca vs Bardejov
1:5
Aug 23, 2025 4. liga - East
Bardejov vs Geca
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geca 10 / 100
Bardejov 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geca Bardejov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bardejov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Geca scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Bardejov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Geca remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Geca VS Bardejov
0.38 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Geca

(Home)
13 Sept
FK Kechnec
1 : 1
Geca
05 Sept
Geca
0 : 3
Zahradne
29 Aug
Rudnany
2 : 0
Geca
26 Aug
Geca
0 : 4
Spisska Nova Ves
23 Aug
Geca
0 : 3
Gerlachov
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Bardejov

(Away)
12 Sept
Bardejov
4 : 3
1. MFK Kezmarok
05 Sept
Spisska Nova Ves
0 : 1
Bardejov
02 Sept
Bardejov
1 : 2
Vranov
29 Aug
Bardejov
1 : 0
Snina
22 Aug
Stara Lubovna
2 : 2
Bardejov
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