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Gedania Gdansk vs Blekitni Stargard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gedania Gdansk host Blekitni Stargard in the III Liga - Group II. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Gedania Gdansk at 1.83 goals for, 2.27 against; Blekitni Stargard at 2.06 for, 1.45 against. Head-to-head, Gedania Gdansk have won 3 to Blekitni Stargard's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 23, 2024, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 2.38, favoring Blekitni Stargard. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Gedania Gdansk
35%
Draws
40%
Blekitni Stargard
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Blekitni Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Blekitni Stargard have won more games recently than Gedania Gdansk.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gedania Gdansk Blekitni Stargard
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.83 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Gedania Gdansk
2:1
Aug 3, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Blekitni Stargard
0:2
May 25, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Blekitni Stargard
3:1
Nov 4, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Gedania Gdansk
1:2
Mar 4, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Gedania Gdansk
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gedania Gdansk 30 / 100
Blekitni Stargard 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gedania Gdansk Blekitni Stargard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blekitni Stargard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gedania Gdansk scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Blekitni Stargard has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gedania Gdansk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gedania Gdansk VS Blekitni Stargard
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gedania Gdansk

(Home)
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0
Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
05 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 4
Luzino
Page 1 of 6

Blekitni Stargard

(Away)
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3
Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
05 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
2 : 4
Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)