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Gedania Gdansk vs Grom Nowy Staw - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gedania Gdansk host Grom Nowy Staw in the III Liga - Group II. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Grom Nowy Staw have shipped 2.04 goals a game lately, while Gedania Gdansk have conceded 2.19 and scored 1.77. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.94 - 2.13) back Gedania Gdansk to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Gedania Gdansk
30%
Draws
18%
Grom Nowy Staw
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gedania Gdansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Gedania Gdansk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gedania Gdansk's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gedania Gdansk Grom Nowy Staw
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.77 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.19 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gedania Gdansk 74 / 100
Grom Nowy Staw 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gedania Gdansk Grom Nowy Staw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gedania Gdansk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Gedania Gdansk remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gedania Gdansk's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Grom Nowy Staw's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 23 matches.

Grom Nowy Staw's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gedania Gdansk VS Grom Nowy Staw
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gedania Gdansk

(Home)
31 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0
KKS Kalisz
24 Oct
Lipno Steszew
1 : 2
Gedania Gdansk
17 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
2 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3
Gedania Gdansk
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0
Victoria Wrzesnia
Page 1 of 7

Grom Nowy Staw

(Away)
31 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 2
Lipno Steszew
24 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
17 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
2 : 0
Chemik Bydgoszcz
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 15 11 4 0 43:20 37
2 Luzino 15 9 1 5 40:25 28
3 Wda Swiecie 15 8 4 3 23:19 28
4 Kluczevia Stargard 14 8 2 4 25:22 26
5 Lech Poznan II 14 7 3 4 36:27 24
6 Blekitni Stargard 15 6 5 4 35:26 23
7 Baltyk Koszalin 15 5 5 5 22:20 20
8 Elana Torun 15 5 5 5 23:25 20
9 Notec Czarnkow 15 6 2 7 21:23 20
10 Unia Swarzedz 15 5 4 6 24:21 19
11 Gedania Gdansk 15 4 7 4 30:29 19
12 KKS Kalisz 15 4 7 4 18:20 19
13 Grom Nowy Staw 15 5 1 9 32:34 16
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 15 3 6 6 24:30 15
15 Swinoujscie 15 4 3 8 18:32 15
16 Lipno Steszew 15 4 2 9 19:29 14
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 15 2 7 6 12:24 13
18 Kotwica Kornik 15 3 2 10 20:39 11
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)